Sat TV Trends: Ascot + Haydock

SAT TV TRENDS

ASCOT

Silver Cup Handicap Chase

Only stats for previous 8 renewals so not too strong..

7/8 Top 6 lto

6/8 7 or 8 yo (0/8 10yo+, 20 have tried)

5/8 Top 5 in market

8/8 ran 16-60 days ago (only 24 have tried outside of that rest period)

6/8 Only 1 run that season (1/8 2 runs that season)

Shortlist:

Houblon Des Obeaux comes up strongly on the trends, and won this race last year. Question is whether the Hennessy run has taken anything out of him, and his revised mark. 7/2

7 or 8 yo and Top 5 lto would leave Ardkilly Witness and Polisky as well.

 

The Ladbroke Handicap Hurdle

(stats for previous 9 renewals)

8/9 Top 3 lto

5/9 5 yo – (from 53 runners. 4/9 age 4,6,7 from 98 runners)

5/9 0 or 1 run this season

7/9 had run over a maximum of 2m 4f previously

7/9 had won 1 or 2 races (max) over further

5/9 had only won 1 race over the distance

Trainers: From last 11 renewals team Pipe (3); Henderson (3); other winners Skelton, G.Elliot, King, V.Williams, H.Morrison

Shortlist:

Focussing on top 3 lto, run a maximum over 2m4f,and had won 1 or 2 races over further would leave a shortlist of: Goodwood Mirage; Pyromaniac; Hello George and Clondaw Warrior

If you like using trends I would suggest focussing on those top 3 last time out in order to cut the field down and carry out further analysis form there.

 

HAYDOCK

 Tommy Whittle Chase

(Only stats for previous 7 renewals)

7/7 aged 7 or 8

0/27 priced bigger than 12/1

4/7 ran 8-15 days ago (from only 17 runners)

6/7 has not won over further than 3m

4/7 only 1 run this season

Shortlist: Maybe wise not to use trends for this race but tby applying those above you can cut the field in half and leave: Firebird Flyer; Toby Lerone; Fill The Power; Safran De Cotte

 

Grech Family Handicap Hurdle

(stats for previous 9 renewals)

6/9 3rd last time out (an illogical stat!, 1st or 2nd lto 0/25 runners)

7/9 Top 3 in market

8/9 had never won at the distance

Trainer: Nicky Richards only trainer to win more than once (2) since 2000

Shortlist: focussing on the non-distance winners (no markets formed yet) would leave: Abracadabra Sivola; Kilcooley; Muckle Roe; Taj Badalandabad

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