Saturday TV Trends

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I have looked at a couple of  races tomorrow…

Rehearsal Chase (2.40 Newcastle)

Not much to go on as only have history for last 9 renewals but…

7/9 Top 3 in market

4/9 (from just 11 runners) carried 11-9 or more to victory

2/9 returning within 7 days (from 8 runners)

2/9 returning 31-60 days (from 9 runners) – 5 win and places total.

6/9 had only 1 run that season

2/9 were making seasonal reappearance

Previous Winners.. (Horseracebase stats above only last 9 years)

Date Track Winner Odds Trainer Age OR Jockey
30.11.2013 Newcastle Hey Big Spender (IRE) 05-Jan Tizzard, C L 10 140 Powell, Brendan
1.12.2012 Newcastle Junior 03-Jan Pipe, D E 9 155 OFarrell, C
26.11.2011 Newcastle Hey Big Spender (IRE) 05-Feb Tizzard, C L 8 150 Tizzard, Joe
28.11.2009 Newcastle Beat The Boys (IRE) 14-Jan Twiston-Davies, N A 8 140 Murphy, Timmy
1.12.2007 Newcastle Harmony Brig (IRE) 14-Jan Richards, N G 8 132 Harding, Brian
25.11.2006 Newcastle Neptune Collonges (FR) 100/30 Nicholls, P F 5 152 Heard, Liam
26.11.2005 Newcastle Direct Access (IRE) 08-Jan Richards, N G 10 127 Harding, Brian
4.12.2004 Chepstow One Knight (IRE) 09-Apr Hobbs, P J 8 146 Flynn, Paul W
6.12.2003 Chepstow Sir Rembrandt (IRE) 09-Apr Alner, R H 7 143 Thornton, Andrew
7.12.2002 Chepstow See More Business (IRE) 02-Jan Nicholls, P F 12 162 Thornton, Andrew
8.12.2001 Chepstow Arctic Camper 12-Jan Williams, Miss Venetia 9 140 Williamson, N
2.12.2000 Chepstow Moral Support (IRE) 07-Jan Mann, C J 8 127 Fehily, Noel
4.12.1999 Chepstow Dr Leunt (IRE) 09-Apr Hobbs, P J 8 149 Thornton, Andrew
5.12.1998 Chepstow See More Business (IRE) 10-Nov Nicholls, P F 8 172 Tizzard, Joe
6.12.1997 Chepstow See More Business (IRE) 09-Apr Nicholls, P F 7 157 Murphy, Timmy

Hennessy Gold Cup Chase (3.00 Newbury)

14/17 Top 3 Last Time Out

17/17 Aged 6-9

12/17 Aged 6 or 7

12/17 Top 4 in market

10/17 Top 2 in market

No real ‘Days Since Run Trends’ however all 8 to be returning after more than 365 days have been unplaced

14/17 had 0 or 1 run only this Season. Wouldn’t necessarily be put off by more however

9/17 had run over at least 3m2f previously in their careers. The other 8 had run over at least 3 miles 1/2 a furlong previously.

Last 17 winners with connections…

Date Track Winner Odds Trainer Age OR Jockey
30.11.2013 Newbury Triolo Dalene (FR) 20-Jan Henderson, N J 6 147 Geraghty, B J
1.12.2012 Newbury Bobs Worth (IRE) 04-Jan Henderson, N J 7 160 Geraghty, B J
26.11.2011 Newbury Carruthers 10-Jan Bradstock, M 8 146 Batchelor, Mattie
27.11.2010 Newbury Diamond Harry 06-Jan Williams, Nick 7 152 Jacob, Daryl
28.11.2009 Newbury Denman (IRE) 11-Apr Nicholls, P F 9 174 Walsh, R
29.11.2008 Newbury Madison Du Berlais (FR) 25-Jan Pipe, D E 7 150 Scudamore, Tom
1.12.2007 Newbury Denman (IRE) 05-Jan Nicholls, P F 7 161 Thomas, Sam
25.11.2006 Newbury State Of Play 10-Jan Williams, Evan 6 145 Moloney, Paul
26.11.2005 Newbury Trabolgan (IRE) 13-Feb Henderson, N J 7 151 Fitzgerald, Mick
27.11.2004 Newbury Celestial Gold (IRE) 09-Apr Pipe, M C 6 142 Murphy, Timmy
29.11.2003 Newbury Strong Flow (IRE) 05-Jan Nicholls, P F 6 140 Walsh, R
30.11.2002 Newbury Gingembre (FR) 16-Jan Taylor, Mrs L C 8 149 Thornton, Andrew
1.12.2001 Newbury Whats Up Boys (IRE) 14-Jan Hobbs, P J 7 145 Flynn, Paul W
25.11.2000 Newbury Kings Road (IRE) 07-Jan Twiston-Davies, N A 7 137 Goldstein, Jamie
27.11.1999 Newbury Ever Blessed (IRE) 09-Feb Pitman, M 7 136 Murphy, Timmy
28.11.1998 Newbury Teeton Mill 05-Jan Williams, Miss Venetia 9 139 Williamson, N
29.11.1997 Newbury Suny Bay (IRE) 09-Apr Brooks, C P E 8 162 Bradley, G

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